Risk of heavy rain over the east and north of Northland
A low over the Tasman Sea is expected to drift onto the North Island later in the week. An associated front should move slowly southwards over the North Island from Monday to early Wednesday, preceded by moist easterlies. There is a moderate risk of heavy rain accumulating to warning levels over the east and north of Northland during Monday and early Tuesday, then for north Auckland, Coromandel Peninsula and western Bay of Plenty on Tuesday. A lesser risk of heavy rain extends to the eastern Bay of Plenty on Tuesday.
As the front moves down over central New Zealand later Tuesday and Wednesday, a burst of heavy easterly rain is likely for the northwest of Nelson with moderate confidence of warning accumulations there.
The low should move onto the North Island on Thursday, bringing heavy showers to northern and central regions. Southerlies and scattered rain for the south and east of the South Island.